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Spotlight on Precious Metals: Will Gold and Silver Continue Their Rally in Q4? - December 12, 2025

Gold & Silver Market Outlook - December 12, 2025

Metal Market Analysis - December 12, 2025

Today's market snapshot reveals minimal movement in both gold and silver prices, with no changes recorded for either metal. The static price environment is reflective of a lack of clear direction from macroeconomic drivers.

MetalPrice (USD)Change% ChangeDay HighDay Low
Gold (XAU)4278.600.000.00%4321.394235.81
Silver (XAG)563.740.000.00%569.38558.10

Gold Technical Analysis

The gold price has maintained a relatively stable trend over the past week, with minor fluctuations between 4225 and 4321 levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above neutral levels at 53.17, indicating that the metal is neither overbought nor oversold.

Key technical support: $4230
Key technical resistance: $4340

From a macroeconomic perspective, inflation concerns have been somewhat alleviated in recent weeks due to a moderation in oil prices and stabilizing supply chains. However, this has not translated into significant price appreciation for gold. Instead, the metal is being driven by risk management and safety-seeking strategies as investors adjust their portfolios.

Gold Macro Analysis

The current yield environment remains subdued, with 10-year Treasury yields hovering around 2.5%. This low-yield backdrop continues to support demand for gold, particularly among income-hungry investors seeking alternatives to traditional bonds. Central banks have also been relatively inactive in the market, which has resulted in a lack of significant price movement.

As we move forward into the final quarter of the year, gold is likely to be influenced by the typical end-of-year portfolio rebalancing and risk management activities. Our short-term trading bias for gold remains HOLD due to the absence of clear macroeconomic catalysts.

Silver Technical Analysis

The silver price has mirrored the stability observed in gold prices, with a day range limited to $11 between 558.10 and 569.38 levels. The RSI for silver stands at 53.43, indicating that it is also trading within neutral territory.

Key technical support: $556
Key technical resistance: $572

Silver Macro Analysis

Like gold, silver's price performance has been largely unresponsive to changes in macroeconomic variables such as inflation and yields. However, the metal remains sensitive to fluctuations in risk appetite and investor sentiment. As investors reassess their portfolios for year-end, we may see increased demand for precious metals like silver as a hedge against market volatility.

Our short-term trading bias for silver is HOLD, similar to gold. The lack of significant price movement suggests that investors are adopting a cautious approach, with both metals acting as a safety net rather than a directional investment.

Actionable Insights and Risk Management Reminders

Investors should be prepared for increased market volatility in the coming weeks as year-end portfolio rebalancing and risk management activities intensify. A combination of cautious risk appetite and stable macroeconomic variables is likely to maintain gold and silver prices within relatively narrow trading ranges.

To effectively navigate this environment, consider maintaining a diversified portfolio with a focus on fundamental value rather than short-term price movements. Regular monitoring of key support and resistance levels will also help investors adjust their positions in response to changing market conditions.

Risk management should be at the forefront of investment strategies moving forward, with attention devoted to position sizing and stop-loss placement. As we navigate these uncertain markets, it is essential to stay informed, adapt quickly to changes in macroeconomic variables, and maintain a well-diversified portfolio capable of withstanding increased volatility.


By Malik Abualzait

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